Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.260748 0.280617 0.301710 0.325843 0.352781 0.382030 0.416333
2025-12-07 0.225564 0.253695 0.285504 0.324457 0.371319 0.426462 0.497139
2025-12-14 0.203640 0.235926 0.274041 0.323011 0.385242 0.463085 0.570163
2025-12-21 0.185124 0.219151 0.260617 0.315857 0.389096 0.485287 0.625563
2025-12-28 0.176556 0.213223 0.259249 0.322716 0.410412 0.531349 0.718691
2026-01-04 0.168370 0.206781 0.256227 0.326474 0.427143 0.572236 0.810039
2026-01-11 0.160169 0.199517 0.251266 0.326699 0.438321 0.605709 0.894757
2026-01-18 0.150998 0.190237 0.242739 0.320891 0.439648 0.623798 0.956507
2026-01-25 0.141864 0.180397 0.232691 0.311906 0.435002 0.631437 1.000711
2026-02-01 0.134741 0.172887 0.225376 0.306262 0.434779 0.645891 1.059324
2026-02-08 0.127941 0.165446 0.217676 0.299383 0.431792 0.655041 1.108991
2026-02-15 0.122458 0.159576 0.211882 0.294947 0.432256 0.670009 1.172769
2026-02-22 0.119607 0.157448 0.211621 0.299397 0.448459 0.716210 1.314667
2026-03-01 0.115427 0.153209 0.208002 0.298272 0.455081 0.745723 1.427756
2026-03-08 0.111546 0.149205 0.204483 0.296999 0.461222 0.775017 1.547978
2026-03-15 0.106732 0.143589 0.198182 0.290640 0.457481 0.783856 1.619171
2026-03-22 0.105209 0.142807 0.199287 0.296738 0.477240 0.843968 1.843978
2026-03-29 0.103155 0.141110 0.198833 0.300077 0.492033 0.895727 2.064202
2026-04-05 0.100555 0.138453 0.196691 0.300277 0.500654 0.934970 2.261494
2026-04-12 0.097002 0.134177 0.191728 0.295117 0.498025 0.947621 2.377148
2026-04-19 0.093079 0.129190 0.185398 0.287124 0.488941 0.943619 2.434728
2026-04-26 0.089965 0.125369 0.180833 0.282098 0.485610 0.953393 2.546837
2026-05-03 0.086801 0.121368 0.175816 0.275967 0.479462 0.955336 2.631120